SDM Baseline Condition Map Review

Seasonal Patterns in Sea Surface Temperatures

Author

Adam Kemberling

Published

August 1, 2023

Seasonal Baseline Map Comparisons

Do baseline conditions look vastly different on a map? Are there Seasonal Patterns to the error?

Spring = March - May
Summer = June - August
August = September - November
Winter = December - February

Question that came up:
Should we scale the covariates and SSP scenarios based on their baseline mean/variance rather than the extracted data points mean/variance?

For that we would take a grand mean and variance for the year over our complete study area, and use that to scale with.

Would need mean/variance over the whole area and not by pixel to preserve the north and south patterns. But this would in theory avoid any of the spatial and temporal sampling biases.

Loading Baseline Period Means

2000 to 2019 In-Situ Average Conditions

2000 to 2019 Bias-Corrected Average Conditions

SSP Scenario Difference from Observations

Spring

Summer

Fall

Winter